Published Articles
6. A Drag on the Ticket? Estimating Top-of-the-Ticket Effects on Down-Ballot Races. DeLuca, Kevin, Daniel Moskowitz, and Benjamin Schneer. 2025. American Journal of Political Science [Forthcoming]
5. Editor’s Choice: Measuring Candidate Quality using Local Newspaper Endorsements. DeLuca, Kevin. 2025. Journal of Politics, Just Accepted [Publisher Link]
4. A Partisan Solution to Partisan Gerrymandering: The Define-Combine Procedure. 2024. Palmer, Maxwell, Benjamin Schneer, and Kevin DeLuca. Political Analysis, 32(3), 295-310. [Publisher Link] — (Winner of the Society for Political Methodology’s Miller Prize for the best work appearing in Political Analysis in 2024)
3. “The Power of Characters: Evaluating Machine Learning Modified Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding Inference of Race in Redistricting.” 2024. Curiel, John A. and Kevin DeLuca. State Politics & Policy Quarterly, 24(3): 300-321. [Publisher Link]
2. “Validating the Applicability of Bayesian Inference with Surname and Geocoding to Congressional Redistricting.” 2023. DeLuca, Kevin, and John A. Curiel. Political Analysis, 30(3): 465-471. [Publisher Link]
1. “American Election Results at the Precinct Level.” 2022. Baltz, Samuel, Alexander Agadjanian, Declan Chin, John Curiel, Kevin DeLuca, James Dunham, Jennifer Miranda, Connor Phillips, Annabel Uhlman, Cameron Wimpy, Marcos Zárate, and Charles Stewart. Scientific Data 9, 651. [Publisher Link]
Select Working Papers
3. “Local News in the Crosshairs: Audience Perceptions of Algorithmic News Sites.”, with David A. Beavers.
2. “Candidate Quality, Incumbency, and Election Outcomes in the United States.” DeLuca, Kevin. 2023. APSA Preprints.
1. “The Influence of Biased Local Newspaper Endorsements.” DeLuca, Kevin. 2023. APSA Preprints. [Presented at the 94th Annual Southern Political Science Association Meeting, January 2023. Honorable Mention for the Pi Sigma Alpha – Malcolm Jewell Award]
Work in Progress
“Reading Between the Headlines: Candidate Coverage and Electoral Accountability in Presidential Elections”, with Zoe Kava
“Publicity-as-Lobbying: Newsies, "Little Merchants", and Newspapers' Fight for Labor Exemptions”
“Reverse Media Capture: Editorial Blackmail and the Newspaper Preservation Act of 1970”, with Andrew Beingessner and Marina Legoretta
“The Decline of Evening Newspapers: Partisan Slant's Impact on Election Results”, with Tyler Simko, James M. Snyder, Jr., and B.K. Song
“Optimal Media Bias for Political Accountability”
Other Media
“Media in Trump’s Second Presidency” CQ Researcher Report, by Gregory Perreault, 09/19/2025
“The Political Pulse: Why Polling Persists in American Politics” The Politic, 01/18/2025
“San Francisco politics are about to get crazy. Here’s what to look out for” The San Francisco Standard, 09/02/2024
“Could These Unconventional Voices Determine the 2024 Election?” Deseret News, 08/19/2024.
"Who Cares What Taylor Swift Thinks?" Harvard Gazette, 02/08/2024.
“Newspaper Endorsements and the Importance of Candidate Quality in Politics" IQSS Blog. 08/14/2023.